Know Your Risk – COVID19
The US, CDC Numbers
CDC COVID weekly updates – (look by age) https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#SexAndAge
Of the 500,000 deaths CDC reported by early 2021:
- Less than 30,000 were under 55, most with pre-existing metabolic disorders, low vitamin D & obesity.
- Almost no COVID19 deaths for under 14 yr-old (none in Sweden that did not close schools or mask the children).
- Highest number of deaths in elderly, specially those in the nursing homes.
- Deaths from any cause with PCR positive attributed to COVID19.
- High PCR threshold is prone to positive result in presence of contaminations and other pathogens.
- PCR tests are not meant to be used for asymptomatic people rather as a diagnostics tool for symptomatic patients.
- Few flu cases for 2020, many flu deaths were attributed to COVID19 as PCR tests did not distinguish the difference.
- Total reported deaths were from Jan 2020-Feb 2021, encompassing 2 January months with the highest rates of seasonal reparatory illnesses & deaths.
Also important to note that COVID death were ANY death with positive COVID test. This means someone who was already in hospice and expected to die but tested positive, was reported as COVID death.
Risk per age groups
Here is the risk of death from COVID-19 for different age groups:
Over 80: 2.15
All ages: 0.13
Note: percentages are based on the data from CDC for deaths from COVID-19 for Jan 2020 to Feb 2021, see below:
Comparison with the flu
The UK numbers
No asymptomatic spread
There has been many studies showing children and other asymptomatic people do not spread COVID-19 due to the low viral levels. This has been seen in countries like Sweden that didn’t close schools and several US states that either partially or completely conducted in-person classes, e.g.: Georgia.
It has also been stated by the CDC and Dr. Fauci that asymptomatic people have never been the drivers of any epidemic or pandemic.
“Despite Sweden’s having kept schools and preschools open, we found a low incidence of severe Covid-19 among schoolchildren and children of preschool age during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Among the 1.95 million children who were 1 to 16 years of age, 15 children had Covid-19, MIS-C, or both conditions and were admitted to an ICU, which is equal to 1 child in 130,000.”
“Four of the children had an underlying chronic coexisting condition (cancer in 2, chronic kidney disease in 1, and hematologic disease in 1). No child with Covid-19 died.”
Very important; school teachers had a 57% lower risk of severe COVID illness compared to other occupations.
Hospitalization risk by age
Pay attention to Sweden, the elephant in the room
Vaccinated spreading the disease
It was never established during the short vaccine trials that they prevent getting or spreading the virus, now real world data shows they do neither. The final argument that vaccines will prevent hospitalization and death is also not holding true as same number of deaths were observed among vaccinated in Israel and the UK.
This is an example of recent observations where same viral load was observed in the vaccinated vs. non-vaccinated. It’s hard to believe that the vaccinated with the same viral load would have any advantage when it comes to severe disease or death.
WHO’s prediction turned out to be correct, it is now observed that the vaccinated have the same viral load as unvaccinated and transmit the disease at the same rate.
There is no guarantee that vaccination for COVID-19 will prevent people from getting or spreading the infection “At the moment I don’t believe we have the evidence of any of the vaccines to be confident that it’s going to prevent people from actually getting the infection and therefore being able to pass it on“, said WHO’s chief scientist, Dr. Soumya Swaminathan in Dec 2020.
Real world observation
“… In all the history of respiratory born viruses of any type, asymptomatic transmission has never been the driver of outbreaks. The driver of outbreaks is always symptomatic person.
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